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Managing the Unknown: A New Approach to Managing High Uncertainty and Risk in Projects » (New Edition)

Book cover image of Managing the Unknown: A New Approach to Managing High Uncertainty and Risk in Projects by Christoph H. Loch

Authors: Christoph H. Loch, Arnoud DeMeyer, Michael T. Pich
ISBN-13: 9780471693055, ISBN-10: 0471693057
Format: Hardcover
Publisher: Wiley, John & Sons, Incorporated
Date Published: March 2006
Edition: New Edition

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Author Biography: Christoph H. Loch

Dr. Christoph H. Loch,  Dr. Arnoud DeMeyer, Dr. Michael T. Pich, Department of Technology Management, ISEAD, Fontainebleu, FRANCE

The authors are professors at Europe’s leading business school – INSEAD.  All have been in both the private sector and in academia and all are currently involved in teaching project management, strategic management, and technology management.

Book Synopsis

Managing the Unknown offers a new way of looking at the problem of managing projects in novel and unknown environments. From Europe's leading business school, this book shows how to manage two fundamental approaches that, in combination, offer the possibility of coping with unforeseen influences that inevitably arise in novel projects:

  • Trial-and-Error Learning allows for redefining the plan and the project as the project unfolds

  • Selectionism pursues multiple, independent trials in order to pick the best one at the end

Managing the Unknown offers expert guidelines to the specific project mindsets, infrastructures, and management methods required to use these project management approaches and achieve success in spite of unforeseen obstacles. This book equips readers with:

  • Causal explanations of why unforeseeable factors in novel projects make traditional project planning and project risk management insufficient

  • Directly applicable management tools that help managers to guide novel and high-uncertainty projects

  • Real-world case studies of both successful and unsuccessful approaches to managing high uncertainty in novel projects

Table of Contents

Pt. IA new look at project risk management9
Ch. 1PRM best practice : the PCNet project13
Ch. 2The limits of established PRM : the Circored project33
Ch. 3A broader look at project risk management51
Pt. IIManaging the unknown81
Ch. 4Diagnosing complexity and uncertainty85
Ch. 5Learning projects103
Ch. 6Multiple parallel projects : selectionism123
Ch. 7Selectionism and learning in projects141
Pt. IIIPutting selectionism and learning into practice163
Ch. 8Establishing the project mindset165
Ch. 9Putting the infrastructure in place183
Ch. 10Managing relationships and project governance211
Ch. 11Managing project stakeholders237
Pt. IVManaging the unknown : the role of senior management261
Ch. 12The role of senior management in novel projects261

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