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An Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling, Vol. 1 » (New Edition)

Book cover image of An Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling, Vol. 1 by Christian Bluhm

Authors: Christian Bluhm, Ludger Overbeck, Christoph Wagner, Hiles Jones, Christoph Wagner
ISBN-13: 9781584883265, ISBN-10: 158488326X
Format: Hardcover
Publisher: Taylor & Francis, Inc.
Date Published: January 2003
Edition: New Edition

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Author Biography: Christian Bluhm

Book Synopsis

In today's increasingly competitive financial world, successful risk management, portfolio management, and financial structuring demand more than up-to-date financial know-how. They also call for quantitative expertise, including the ability to effectively apply mathematical modeling tools and techniques.

An Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling supplies both the bricks and the mortar of risk management. In a gentle and concise lecture-note style, it introduces the fundamentals of credit risk management, provides a broad treatment of the related modeling theory and methods, and explores their application to credit portfolio securitization, credit risk in a trading portfolio, and credit derivatives risk. The presentation is thorough but refreshingly accessible, foregoing unnecessary technical details yet remaining mathematically precise.

Whether you are a risk manager looking for a more quantitative approach to credit risk or you are planning a move from the academic arena to a career in professional credit risk management, An Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling is the book you've been looking for. It will bring you quickly up to speed with information needed to resolve the questions and quandaries encountered in practice.

Table of Contents

1The Basics of Credit Risk Management15
1.1Expected Loss16
1.2Unexpected Loss28
1.3Regulatory Capital and the Basel Initiative51
2Modeling Correlated Defaults55
2.1The Bernoulli Model56
2.2The Poisson Model62
2.3Bernoulli Versus Poisson Mixture65
2.4An Overview of Today's Industry Models66
2.5One-Factor/Sector Models83
2.6Loss Distributions by Means of Copula Functions103
2.7Working Example: Estimation of Asset Correlations113
3Asset Value Models123
3.1Introduction and a Small Guide to the Literature123
3.2A Few Words about Calls and Puts124
3.3Merton's Asset Value Model133
3.4Transforming Equity into Asset Values: A Working Approach141
4The CreditRisk[superscript +] Model149
4.1The Modeling Framework of CreditRisk[superscript +]150
4.2Construction Step 1: Independent Obligors153
4.3Construction Step 2: Sector Model154
5Alternative Risk Measures and Capital Allocation165
5.1Coherent Risk Measures and Conditional Shortfall166
5.2Contributory Capital171
6Term Structure of Default Probability183
6.1Survival Function and Hazard Rate183
6.2Risk-neutral vs. Actual Default Probabilities186
6.3Term Structure Based on Historical Default Information188
6.4Term Structure Based on Market Spreads205
7Credit Derivatives211
7.1Total Return Swaps212
7.2Credit Default Products214
7.3Basket Credit Derivatives218
7.4Credit Spread Products229
7.5Credit-linked Notes232
8Collateralized Debt Obligations237
8.1Introduction to Collateralized Debt Obligations237
8.2Different Roles of Banks in the CDO Market253
8.3CDOs from the Modeling Point of View264
8.4Rating Agency Models: Moody's BET271
8.5Conclusion279
8.6Some Remarks on the Literature280
References283
Index292

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